Publications

6: Fuhrmann: Policy Memo: The Logic of Foreign Nuclear Deployments

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Last month marked the fiftieth anniversary of the most significant crisis of the nuclear age: the Cuban Missile Crisis. The U.S. detection of Soviet nuclear forces on the island of Cuba in October 1962 precipitated a tense thirteen day standoff between the two superpowers. The Soviets ultimately agreed to withdraw the missiles from Cuba in exchange for U.S. promises (1) not to invade the island and (2) remove nuclear-tipped Jupiter missiles from Turkey. Yet why did the Soviets place nuclear missiles in Cuba in the first place?

6: Adamsky: Policy Memo: Nuclear Incoherence

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Deterrence Theory and Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons in Russia

This memo illuminates how various factions of the Russian strategic community perceive non strategic nuclear weapons (NSNW), their role in national security, their potential use, and their modernization paths. The study offers an alternative and novel argument about the notion of Russian regional nuclear deterrence, and puts forth practical and theoretical implications.

 

6: Jacob: POSSEVI: Revisiting Indo-Pak Strategic Stability

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Contours of South Asian Nuclear Order

The paper seeks to examine some important drivers that determine the emerging South Asian Nuclear order.  South Asia’s nuclear order is easily the most dynamic one in the contemporary world. It is also widely considered to be the most dangerous and volatile nuclear order. India and Pakistan officially declared their nuclear status in 1998 although they are supposed to have crossed the nuclear threshold by developing what analyst has called recessed deterrents in the late 1980s.

6: Zhong: Policy Memo: Nuclear Non-proliferation, Power Dynamics, and Regional Stability Revisited

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China’s Approach to Address Nuclear Crisis on Korea Peninsula

My paper aims to explore how China has trying to reconcile its key objectives and major national interests on the Peninsula which have to some extent strained its strategic options as well as China’s relations with major stakeholders in North East Asia region.

6: Zhang: POSSEVI: China-Pakistan Nuclear Relations after Cold War and Its International Implications

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Though China-Pakistan relations have been viewed by both countries as ‘all weather, time-tested’ strategic cooperative partner all along, there are comparative few studies relating to this bilateral relation in the research field of Chinese foreign affairs in China. Considering the extraordinary importance of Pakistan in the integral structure of China’s foreign relations, this kind of phenomenon in the academy of China is quite abnormal. The year 2011 marked the sixtieth anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Pakistan.

6: Zhao: POSSEVI: Risk-Taking and Trust-building between the U.S. and China on Nuclear Security

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Interests, Cooperation, Confidence, and Trust

There has been a lot of study on trust-building between national states. However, analysts defined the term trust in various ways. What makes things more complicated is the fact that people tended to use a number of related terms – such as trust, confidence, cooperation, and shared interests – in the same line without differentiating their different meanings and without discussing their relationships relative to each other. This makes the task of understanding trust and the mechanism for trust-building even more difficult.

6: Tasleem: POSSEVI: DIFFUSION OF NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE: TECHNOLOGY, POLICY & POSTURE

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A CASE- STUDY OF PAKISTAN

It is said, “Knowledge is inherently diffusible because of its non-rivalrous-ness, there being no loss of knowledge by those who already have it as it is diffused to others who do not.”   Knowledge relating military technology in general and nuclear weapons in particular does not fit this category.

6: Yin: POSSEVI: An Analysis of China’s No-First-Use Policy

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--the No-First-Use policy and its positive role in establishing the new type of China-US strategic stability

Since US President Obama made his speech in Prague in 2009, the heads of major countries, after one another, have declared their support for the proposal of “a nuclear-free world” and the global efforts in nuclear disarmament and nuclear non-proliferation seem to have been on a positive track.  Nuclear disarmament negotiations have returned to their traditional path and the United States and Russia, the two nuclear superpowers, have reached a new treaty on disarmament.  Howev

6: Liu: POSSEVI: Motivations of China’s Nuclear Force Modernization

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Frequent military interventions and regional wars in the post-Cold War years have strengthened the role and position of the military factor in the international relations. This kind international political atmosphere is a major incentive for a number of countries including China, which are not match the values or interests of those countries who often lunched the military actions, to pay higher attention to their own military condition and modernization.

6: Zhong: POSSEVI: Nuclear Non-proliferation, Power Dynamics, and Regional Stability Revisited

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China’s Approach to Address Nuclear Crisis on Korea Peninsula

After the two rounds of nuclear crisis and the incidents of Cheonan sinking and Yeonpyeong shelling, the nuclear deadlock on Korea Peninsula has become one of the most intractable international affairs in the world.

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